After a recent poll conducted by The Economist/YouGov, a small sampling of circumstantial data is being used to label the “unvaccinated” and Trump voters as conspiracy theorists.
The poll was conducted between February 26, 2022 – March 1, 2022, with an array of questions being asked of respondents identified as “1500 U.S. Adult citizens.” Respondents were asked to weigh in on the direction of the country, state of the economy and which party they felt was more to blame for “Congress achieving less than usual,” among other matters.
While the poll did ask about vaccination status and whether respondents believed “Joe Biden legitimately won the election, or not?” at no point did the poll attempt to draw a specific connection between those two statuses.
This did not stop Mediaite from putting together their recent piece, “NEW POLL: People Who Aren’t Fully Vaccinated 3 Times More Likely to Say Biden ‘Did NOT Legitimately’ Beat Trump in 2020,” by Tommy Christopher.
“Every age group, every race and gender category, every geographic or income level responded, by resounding majorities, that ‘Biden legitimately won the election,’ Christopher wrote. “All except one: White men without a college degree, by a 48% to 52% majority, say that ‘Biden did NOT legitimately win the election.'”
Christopher went on to break down that 75 percent of Trump voters, 70 percent of Republicans, and 64 percent of the “not fully vaccinated” believed “Biden did NOT legitimately win the election. Among those described as “fully vaccinated,” Christopher reports 77 percent said Biden did win legitimately.
The problem with Christopher’s analysis, besides its obvious bias (306 Electoral votes out of 538 possible is not an “electoral landslide,”) is that the data doesn’t support his claims. Of the 1,500 respondents, only 1,182 were identified as registered voters.
Of those who said they voted in 2020, there was a near 50/50 split with 538 for Biden and 494 for Trump – 150 shy of the total registered. Among the 494 voters who said they selected Trump in the 2020 election, 75 percent were among the cohort that reported they do not believe Biden legitimately won the election.
Now, looking at 490 respondents who say they voted for Trump in 2020 when it related to the vaccine questions, only 44 percent identified as having not received “ANY manufacturer’s COVID-19 vaccine.” So, 56 percent of those Trump voters had received at least one shot.
Between those two questions, one can certainly arrive at a conclusion that a considerable percent of Trump voters are choosing not to receive a vaccine. You can also assess that three-quarters of those who said they voted for Trump in 2020 believe Biden did not legitimately win the election.
However, when 56 percent of Trump voters said they received at least one dose, and 50 percent of those Trump voters had at least three shots, how do you differentiate between the vaxxed and unvaxxed in the legitimacy question. No distinction is made.
The only concrete correlation in this poll was that 68 percent of respondents had at least one dose and 62 percent of respondents believe Biden legitimately won the election. Beyond that, a significant number of respondents declared no party affiliation whatsoever.
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