Former President Donald Trump beats President Joe Biden by double digits among likely voters in a 2024 rematch in Iowa, according to a just-released survey.
In addition, Trump is also ahead of Biden among Independent voters just 10 months into Biden’s first term, though “Trump faces some warning signs in what could be a fight in Iowa’s first-in-the-nation Republican caucuses,” the Washington Examiner reported.
According to the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, Trump bested Biden by 11 points, 51-40 percent, with 9 percent saying they either were not sure or would not support the current or former presidents. Among Independents, Trump was ahead of Biden by 8 points, 45-37 percent.
A year ago, Trump beat Biden in the state by 8 points, 53-45 percent.
The survey also found that among Republicans, some respondents indicated they welcomed an open primary in which Trump would be challenged by other GOP candidates.
The pollsters found that while 61 percent of GOP respondents said they align closely with their party, just 26 percent said they were more aligned with the 45th president, “and that sentiment prevails across demographics, including in rural areas among evangelicals,” the Examiner noted.
Selzer/Des Moines Register Poll Shows Trump Over Biden by 11% in Potential 2024 IOWA Matchup
(Trump won IA by 8 in 2020)
Independents prefer Trump by 8%: 45% to 37%
Biden Approval: 33%
Biden Approval on Economy: 32%https://t.co/wwPo3Ju8fz
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) November 14, 2021
“It opens the door a bit for Iowa,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., noted.
But if Trump does decide to run again in 2024 — he has yet to make a public announcement though he has dropped several hints that is the direction he is leading — it’s not certain he would even face off against Biden again.
A close ally of the president, former Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.), suggested that “for whatever reason,” Biden may not seek another term, which elevates Vice President Kamala Harris’ stature.
Dodd made his remark in an interview with The New York Times for a profile of Biden and as “a member of the Biden campaign’s vice-presidential search committee and a confidant of the president,” the paper reported.
Dodd “said the vice president’s political future could include being a part of a longer list of Democratic candidates should the Biden presidency be limited to one term,” the paper noted.
“I’m hoping the president runs for re-election, but for whatever reason that might not be the case, it’s hard to believe there would be a short list without Kamala’s name on it. She’s the vice president of the United States,” the former Democratic senator told the Times.
That said, if Harris does make it to the top of the Democratic ticket for 2024, she faces an uphill battle at the moment, according to a recent USA Today/Suffolk University survey.
The survey, released earlier this month, found support for both Biden and Harris tanking, though the veep’s approval rating was worse than that for the president: Biden’s rating sagged to 38 percent, while Harris’ cratered to just 28 percent.
And both get low marks from Independents, a demographic considered crucial to winning national elections.
“Nearly half of those surveyed, 46%, say Biden has done a worse job as president than they expected, including 16% of those who voted for him. Independents, by 7-1 (44%-6%), say he’s done worse, not better, than they expected,” USA Today reported Nov. 8.
Trumps path in 2024 is actually looking pretty doable.. Florida is safe, Ohio safe, Iowa safe, NC safe(ish) can flip back Georgia and Arizona and then just PA or Michigan or Wisconsin . It’s very doable
— Oscar De La Coker🇲🇽 (@King_CurP) November 14, 2021
Does anyone believe Biden will be on the ticket? I doubt it.
— Elliot Ness (@ejnessit) November 14, 2021
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