A college professor with a phenomenal record for forecasting the outcomes of presidential elections is bucking many polls and political pundits by predicting a win for Donald Trump on November 8.
New York State’s Stony Brook University Professor Helmut Norpoth has correctly predicted the elections in the last 20 years, and he believes that record of success will continue this year.
Clip via Fox News Channel
Norpoth told “Fox & Friends Weekend” host Tucker Carlson that he uses two models to make his predictions: The “primary model” and the “swing of the pendulum model.”
“It usually turns out that the candidate who does better in his party’s primary … beats the other guy who does less well,” he told Carlson of his application of the first model, adding that he can track presidential primary elections from 1912.
Norpoth said the “pendulum swing” model is based on 200 years of presidential elections, which strongly favor a change in party after one particular party has occupied the White House for eight years. In this case, he believes the electorate will call for a change after Democrat Barack Obama’s eight-year run.
He said that he’s so confident of his prediction that he’s even placed money on it.
Wake up right! Receive our free morning news blast  HERE
DONATE TO BIZPAC REVIEW
Please help us! If you are fed up with letting radical big tech execs, phony fact-checkers, tyrannical liberals and a lying mainstream media have unprecedented power over your news please consider making a donation to BPR to help us fight them. Now is the time. Truth has never been more critical!
- ‘Act like a grownup’: Drunk driver sobs when she loses plea deal by coming 4 hours late to court - July 23, 2017
- ‘I would’ve fired her the day I met her’: Glenn Beck reveals more about Tomi Lahren mess - July 23, 2017
- Canadian thug beats 74-year-old cyclist bloody with a club in road rage fit– and they say US is more violent? - July 23, 2017
Comment
We have no tolerance for comments containing violence, racism, profanity, vulgarity, doxing, or discourteous behavior. If a comment is spam, instead of replying to it please click the ∨ icon below and to the right of that comment. Thank you for partnering with us to maintain fruitful conversation.
BPR INSIDER COMMENTS
Scroll down for non-member comments or join our insider conversations by becoming a member. We'd love to have you!