The difficulty that Elizabeth Warren would have beating Trump


Op-ed views and opinions expressed are solely those of the author. 

Joe Biden has been the front runner in the Democratic primary from the time he got into the race until recently. However, Biden has always been gaffe-prone, has never inspired passion and doesn’t seem to have any message other than “vote for me because I am electable.”

As the primary has gone on, the activist wing of the party has started to rally around Elizabeth Warren. She’s beating Biden in Iowa and in some general election polls; she’s also heavily favored to beat him in betting markets. Given that the supporters of every other left-wing candidate that drops out are more likely to go for Warren than Biden, that makes a lot of sense.

For Trump, this is a good thing for a couple of reasons.

First of all, Biden does much better head-to-head against him than Elizabeth Warren.

Second, Biden’s pitch in the 2020 election practically writes itself. To other Democrats, he’d portray himself as a third term for Obama. To independents, he’d say that he’s a Democrat, but he’s not one of the crazy socialists who’d make radical changes. He’d tell people that if you vote him in, then we’d see a “return to normalcy.” He’d be bipartisan and work with Republicans. No more crazy tweets. You’d know exactly what the president is going to do.

Is that true? Mostly no, but that would be his message and if they believe it, it could probably be appealing to independents turned off by Trump.

Elizabeth Warren, who could fairly be called the front runner at this point, can’t run on that same message because she’d be the most radical presidential nominee the Democrats put up since George McGovern. Of course, this would inspire liberal Democrats to turn out to vote for her, but given how much they hate Trump, I’m not sure that she would significantly increase turnout. Moreover, Trump is setting fund raising records already and Warren’s unyielding hostility to Wall Street would probably send even more money into his coffers.

We could add that not only is she not very likable, but candidates from Massachusetts like Michael Dukakis, John Kerry and Mitt Romney haven’t had much luck on the national stage in recent years.

Given how radical Elizabeth Warren is, it seems likely that she’d try to make the election all about Trump’s flaws. The problem with that is the mainstream media has been battering Trump non-stop since he got into office; so at this point, there’s really nothing she can say about him that the public hasn’t already heard ad nauseum. On the other hand, while Trump would certainly trumpet his many successes since he’s come into office, there is a rich vein of crazy in Elizabeth Warren’s platform that he can point out that goes way beyond her pretending to be an Indian to get a leg-up at Harvard.

Elizabeth Warren wants to ban fracking, which has been one of America’s greatest success stories in recent years. She is calling for Brett Kavanaugh to be impeached.

She supports the idea of increasing the size of the Supreme Court so she could pack the court with liberals. She wants to end the legislative filibuster in the Senate.

She wants to get rid of ICE. She wants to decriminalize crossing the border illegally. She’s smeared the police by falsely claiming Michael Brown was murdered by a racist cop. She opposes building a wall on the border. She wants to ban assault weapons. She wants to abolish private insurance and move to government-run Medicare for all. She’s proposing a “wealth tax.” She’s endorsed reparations for slavery. She’d make the taxpayers pay off most existing student debt. She favors using taxpayer dollars to pay for late-term abortions.

It’s hard to believe that this is the agenda of a woman who could actually be the nominee of a major party because it sounds like something you’d hear advocated in the wackier parts of the Berkeley faculty lounge. One thing we can say for sure is that if Elizabeth Warren were elected and was able to implement this agenda, the America we know and love would no longer exist in any meaningful sense – and that’s not hyperbole.

Of course, the liberals in the mainstream media would do their best to hide these radical positions from the American people, but between Donald Trump’s Twitter account and the massive war chest he’ll have for negative ads, you can be sure that voters would hear about all of this in detail by the time the election rolls around. As the 2016 election proved, elections can be tough to predict, but if it does turn out to be Trump vs. Warren, you have to like his chances.


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John Hawkins


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