The birth of white babies is on the decline in America, as Hispanic births are on the rise according to new data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), proving that the nation’s demographics are, indeed, rapidly changing.
Compared to 2021, white women had 55,000 fewer births last year, while Hispanic women welcomed 55,000 more babies into the world, indicating that whites will become a minority in the United States by sometime in the 2040s, the Daily Mail reports.
The CDC’s provisional 2022 birth data shows that the COVID pandemic trend toward having fewer babies is continuing, with US births falling slightly from 3,664,292 in 2021 to 3,661,220 last year.
However, between America’s many ethnic groups, the birth rates “varied widely.”
There was a 3 percent drop in the number of white babies born in 2022 compared to 2021. African Americans and Native Americans also experienced a slight decline in birth rates, but according to the Daily Mail, “Asian, Hispanic, and Native Hawaiian women all had more babies,” with Hispanic women enjoying a 4 percent rise in 2022 birth rates.
The notion that whites are being “replaced” by other ethnicities in America — a theory that has only been enforced by the out-of-control migrant crisis at our nation’s border with Mexico — has sparked heated arguments on both sides of the political aisle, and falling global birth rates have caused some, like Elon Musk, to sound alarm bells.
“Population collapse due to low birth rates is a much bigger risk to civilization than global warming,” Musk tweeted in August 2022. “Mark these words.”
Mark these words
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 26, 2022
According to the United Nations Population Fund, “Over the next few decades, migration is predicted to become the sole driver of population growth in high-income countries.”
When the pandemic hit in 2020, births dropped 4 percent from 2019, “the lowest birth rate since 1980,” according to the Daily Mail.
“The total fertility rate in 2022 remained below its replacement threshold — the level at which the population size holds steady,” the outlet reports, adding, “The US birth rate has been consistently below the replacement rate since 2007.”
In all, 38 states and the District of Columbia saw a decline in births in 2022. In Illinois, New York, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and California, the decline was “sizable.”
To their credit, women in Texas and Florida bucked the trend and had more babies, with a rise in births of 16,000 and 8,000, respectively.
Wellesley College economist Phil Levine points to “changed behaviors” as a result of COVID-19.
Americans may have engaged in less sex, used more contraceptives, or decided to wait to have babies given the uncertain times, Levine told CNN. He also noted that reduced access to prenatal health care or closed borders may have contributed to the decline.
But Levine says the new data won’t matter much in the long term.
The bottom line is that there was a stark decline in birth rates during the first year of the pandemic, and it was followed by a rebound the year after, Levine said. But those dramatic changes won’t matter much in the long term because the decline has persisted, he noted.
“Drawing any conclusion about long-term trends relying on those two years would be a mistake,” Levine said.
After two years of significant swings, 2022 data still showed less predictability in birth rates, and such a modest change from the past year shows that the long-term trends that predated 2020 — plummeting fertility — isn’t going anywhere, Levine said.
“In the long run, [the last couple years are] just not going to matter all that much relative to the long-term trend,” Levine said.
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