Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo,) is so thoroughly disliked by Republican voters, even CNN has had to admit that the “unexpected hero for Democrats” is in “a lot of trouble” in her home state as she fights against a Trump-endorsed GOP candidate in Wyoming’s primary to keep her seat.
As a member of the Jan. 6 Committee, handpicked by Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) to give the appearance the Committee’s hearings are a bipartisan bashing of former President Donald Trump, Cheney has often been at the center of the mainstream media’s coverage of the Dems’ dog-and-pony show for her relentless pursuit of anything that could be used to keep Trump from running in 2024.
Trump says he’s been advised Liz Cheney is coming for him like a ‘crazed lunatic…worse than any Democrat’ https://t.co/RZoN8sTdU1
— American Wire News (@americanwire_) May 18, 2022
But if she is to continue parading questionable witnesses in front of the American people, she must first survive the wrath of her own constituents, most of whom are actual America-first Republicans.
CNN’s senior data reporter, Harry Enten, analyzed the most recent polling numbers and warned readers that “we shouldn’t mistake adoring press coverage and bipartisan bona fides for popularity in the place where popularity matters most for Cheney: Wyoming.”
And the fact of the matter is, Liz Cheney is not a popular person in her state.
She’s not a popular person in D.C.
In fact, according to a late-2021 survey called the Cooperative Election Study (CES), Liz Cheney was, as Enten put it, “the least popular member of Congress” last year.
“Cheney sported a 72% disapproval rating in the late 2021 edition of the survey, which was fielded about 10 months after she voted to impeach Trump,” Enten writes. “That was up nearly 40 points from her 26% disapproval rating in the late 2020 version, which was fielded before Cheney’s vote.”
“All told,” Enten concluded, “Cheney was the least popular member of Congress in the 2021 survey.”
And things haven’t improved for the Trump-hating Dem darling in 2022.
Citing “more recent internal polling of the August Republican primary for Cheney’s at-large House seat in Wyoming,” Enten states that “Cheney is behind one of her challengers, the Trump-endorsed Harriet Hageman, by a significant margin.”
Liz Cheney smears Trump-endorsed opponent who censured her following impeachment vote https://t.co/80M2Os83ai
— American Wire News (@americanwire_) May 21, 2022
While polling in Wyoming is limited, Enten says, “what does exist paints an ominous picture.”
What’s more, things aren’t any better for Cheney on the national level.
“A mere 17% of Republicans nationwide approved of Cheney’s job as vice chair of the January 6 committee, according to a recent Quinnipiac University poll,” Enten reports. “The vast majority (61%) disapproved.”
“Why is this notable?” he asks. “Because the vast majority of Wyomingites are Republicans.”
“According to the Wyoming secretary of state, 71% of registered voters are Republicans,” he continues. “Just 15% are Democrats.”
“From an electoral perspective, this is what makes Cheney’s decision to take on Trump so damaging,” Enten explains. “You could imagine her in better reelection shape in a state that was at least somewhat Competitive on the national level.”
But, as the CNN analyst notes, there aren’t a lot of Democrats in Wyoming, and Cheney’s efforts to get what few Dems there are in the state to vote Republican “probably won’t do much for her.”
‘It was going so well, Liz’: The left turns on RINO Liz Cheney for pro-life Roe v. Wade tweet https://t.co/1rzEfzVFhB
— American Wire News (@americanwire_) June 25, 2022
One only has to look at Cheney’s fundraising numbers to fully appreciate the “dichotomy between her national stardom and issues back home,” Enten says.
“According to FEC and Open Secrets,” he writes, “Cheney raised more than $10 million this cycle through March 31. Hageman pulled in a little more than $2 million through the same date.”
“But Hageman pulled in nearly $650,000 of her total from Wyoming donors, more than twice as much as Cheney’s in-state haul (about $270,000),” he explains.
Ultimately, Enten states, the “problem for Cheney is that there isn’t a lot of room in the Republican Party for those who voted to impeach Trump. A 2021 Pew Research Center poll found that 64% of Republicans said the party should not be accepting of those who had.”
“In sum,” concludes Enten, “the statistics are daunting for Cheney heading into her August primary. It’s no wonder that the betting markets give her less than a 10% chance of earning another term in office.”
“That doesn’t mean Cheney can’t win,” the CNN analyst said. “It would just be quite surprising.”
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