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New Virginia governor poll shows Youngkin breaking away from McAuliffe in key demographic

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Polls have shown the two leading candidates in the Virginia governor’s race, Republican Glenn Youngkin and Democrat Terry McAuliffe, virtually tied among voters, but a brand new poll has Youngkin breaking away with a significant lead among parents of K-12 children.

The data shows Youngkin at 56 percent among parents of school-age children, while McAuliffe lags 17 points behind at 39 percent.

The poll was conducted by Cygnal, ranked the most accurate national polling group. Corey A. DeAngelis, the National Director of Research at School Choice Now, posted the cross tab, which paints a picture of Youngkin’s increasing lead among the key demographic of voters turned off by previous comments from McAuliffe, on Twitter.

At the final debate before the election, the Democrat candidate told the crowd that parents should not have authority over what their children are taught in schools.

“I’m not gonna let parents come into schools and actually take books out and make their own decisions. I stopped the bill that I don’t think parents should be telling schools what they should teach,” McAuliffe declared.

It appears McAuliffe is now paying the price for his controversial record on education among voters who are parents of school children.

“Independent voters and parents of K-12 students are stampeding to support Republicans Glenn Youngkin, Winsome Sears, Jason Miyares and GOP state house candidates. In an interesting twist of political fate, voters under the age of 55 are strongly for Republicans,” remarked Brent Buchanan, CEO of Cygnal.

The parents’ fight in the Virginia school system to protect their children and ensure that the material they are being taught is academic and not politically motivated conjecture is mirrored across the country.

McAuliffe has also advocated for school districts to have total control in their ability to make decisions on controversial issues like that of the transgender bathroom debate in public schools.

In 2016, he vetoed a bill that would have given parents the power to block their children’s exposure to sexually explicit books in schools and would have required teachers to inform parents of any “sexually explicit material” being shown in class with the ability to opt-out, according to The Washington Post.

The outcome of the Virginia governor’s race could be a huge indicator for other races around the country in the 2022 midterm elections, especially among this demographic, as issues like critical race theory and coronavirus mandates in schools continue to heat up.

“The direction of Virginia could be a bellwether of things to come in 2022. We’re seeing generic Republican support rise across much of our polling, while Biden’s image continues to plummet,” Cygnal’s Chris Kratzer predicted.

The Cygnal poll shows Youngkin and McAuliffe dead even among likely voters as a whole, both at 48 percent just one week out from Election Day.

While Youngkin carries the lead among this demographic, he’s got another important indicator on his side– enthusiasm.

A recent rally for Youngkin saw an overflow crowd with hundreds more people outside.

The outlook is positive for down-ballot Republicans, as well. The Cygnal poll showed the GOP holding an R+1 advantage on the generic General Assembly ballot.

“It’s all been turned upside down in Virginia politics this year. Seventy-one percent of Independents view McAuliffe negatively, and more Democrats than Republicans are defecting to support the candidate of the other party,” Buchanan explained.

Virginia’s November 2 Election Day is highly anticipated and will be watched closely around the country. With just one week to go, the outlook continues to trend positive for Glenn Youngkin.

Kay Apfel

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