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Rasmussen Reports confronts CNN over ‘deceptive’ poll on Trump’s future in the Party

September 13, 2021 | | Print Article

Rasmussen Reports, which has a reputation for being a highly accurate polling firm, took CNN to task over what it called a “deceptive” recent survey regarding what “most Republicans” think about a potential 2024 run by former President Donald Trump.

The polling firm was responding to the findings contained in a story headlined, “Most Republicans want Trump as the GOP’s leader but are divided about whether he’d help them retake the White House,” which was published Sunday.

“Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say, 63% to 37%, that Trump should be the leader of the Republican Party. But they are about evenly split over whether having the defeated former President back on the ticket in 2024 would be an advantage: 51% say that Republicans have a better chance of retaking the presidency if Trump is the nominee, with 49% saying the party would be better off with a different nominee,” CNN reported, adding its purported results show “a very different landscape from 2019, when more than three-quarters of Republicans said their party had a better shot in 2020 with Trump as their nominee than they would with a different candidate.”

But in a series of tweets, Rasmussen Reports immediately called out the left-wing network which has demonstrated a distinct anti-Trump bias since the former president took the GOP nomination and later, the White House.

Specifically, the polling firm pressed CNN to be more transparent about how the network came up with its survey results:

69% of Republicans without a college degree think Trump should head the party, compared with 49% of those who hold a college degree. A 72% majority of conservatives say Trump should head the party, compared to 49% among the smaller bloc of moderates in the party. And 71% of self-identified Republicans want Trump to lead the party, compared with 51% of Republican-leaning independents who say the same.

 

“Since ‘most Republicans’ is trending on Twitter, can anyone find the party weighting in this thing? How many Republicans vs how many Democrats & Independents are in this month-long sample? Anyone?” the pollster noted on Twitter.

In a subsequent post, Rasmussen reported the breakdown of the CNN poll, which appears to be heavily slanted.

“Found it: ‘Among the entire sample, 35% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Republicans, and 36% described themselves as independents or members of another party.’ CNN’s 2020 election exit poll found Dems 37%, GOP 36% & Unaffiliated at 27%,” the pollster noted, adding three clown emojis to the post.

The firm then explained in a “Polling 101” post how its researchers conduct surveys that tend to be far more accurate barometers of political sentiment, adding that CNN’s poll appears to have been purposely illusory.

“Polling 101: Using an All Adults screen when reporting on what ‘most Republicans,’ think is deceptive. @CNN knows it. Our All Adults screen is D+7, but since All Adults DON’T VOTE we use a voters based screen for political questions. It’s D+2, very close to the D+1 2020 exits,” Rasmussen noted in a post containing graphics explaining the difference.

Rasmussen also focuses on “likely voters” rather than “registered voters” for its surveys.

The posts drew reactions from Twitter users, many of whom mocked CNN.

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Jon Dougherty
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