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People who’ve been paying attention may recall that polling at the start of the year showed that President Donald Trump had surprisingly strong support among black voters.
And after months of racial discord pushed by a well-funded Black Lives Matter effort, those numbers appear to be gaining.
That’s according to Cook Political Report editor David Wasserman. who appeared on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” to deliver the bad news to Democrats.
“The silver lining for Donald Trump, here, is that he’s doing better with nonwhites than he was doing in 2016,” Wasserman said Thursday. “He’s winning on average 9% of the black vote in these polls compared to 5% in his pre-election polls in 2016.”
Having pushed criminal justice reform and signed a bill permanently providing more than $250 million a year to the nation’s historically black colleges and universities, in addition to record low unemployment numbers prior to the pandemic, the president’s popularity among black voters is highly problematic to the Democratic Party — which may explain the last three months of racial disharmony being pushed by the party and their liberal media allies.
But the terrible news for Democrats doesn’t end with black voters, as Wasserman also said polling shows the president is faring better with Hispanic voters as well.
“And the Hispanic vote, Joe Biden is ahead 56 percent to 31 percent,” he said. “The final polls in 2016, Hillary Clinton was up 61 percent to 23 percent. So, that’s a pretty decent number for Trump among Hispanics that I think is attributable to traditional Republican, Hispanic voters, including, potentially, Cubans, coming back to the Republican fold.”
When it comes to Trump, most polling is suspect, as seen in 2016 when poll after poll insisted that he had no chance against Hillary Clinton. On that note, Wasserman said Trump has not been performing as well among older white voters as he did in 2016.
“At least in Florida, what seems to be offsetting that, for now, is Joe Biden’s strong performance among white seniors which also helps him in Arizona,” he said.
In a Cook Political Report column, Wasserman suggested that Biden could offset the minority support Trump may have by countering the president’s appeal to working-class whites.
“On the current trajectory, Biden has outstanding chances to flip traditionally GOP-leaning states like Arizona, Florida and perhaps even Georgia and Texas,” he wrote. “But if he were to fail to effectively counter Trump’s appeals to working-class whites, Minnesota and Wisconsin could turn into the next Iowa and Ohio.”
At the same time, Wasserman cited a Quinnipiac Poll in a tweet to say that Trump is leading among Florida’s Hispanic voters.
This would be consistent w/ other data we’ve seen (including ‘18 results) suggesting a recovery in GOP support among Cubans et. al. since ‘16. Fortunately for Biden, @QuinnipiacPoll shows him winning FL seniors 54%-44% – another sea change since ‘16 – which offsets it.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) September 3, 2020
As seen in the videos below, more and more black voters are opening their eyes to the Democratic Party’s failure to follow through on decades of promises.
As Trump said in a 2016 appeal to the demographic, “What do you have to lose?”
“They think because I’m Black, that I have to vote Democrat.”
In 2016, Trump won 8% of Black voters and 28% of Hispanic voters. This year, the Trump campaign is betting that he can gain even more traction pic.twitter.com/yg43xjFYOn
— Bloomberg Quicktake (@Quicktake) September 3, 2020
“What do you have to lose?”
In 2016, Trump won 8% of Black voters and 28% of Hispanic voters. This year, the Trump campaign is betting that he can gain even more traction.
This voter shares his perspective on being Black and pro-Trump
— Bloomberg Quicktake (@Quicktake) September 3, 2020
Another video that went viral recently featured a group of black Trump supporters in MAGA hats denouncing Black Lives Matter.
The men proudly declared that they are not oppressed, as the Democratic Party and their media allies keep insisting.
— Bo Snerdley (@BoSnerdley) September 2, 2020
When black Republicans such as South Carolina’s U.S. Sen. Tim Scott and Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron spoke at the Republican National Convention, they were attacked online as “Uncle Toms.”
Cameron caught the nation’s attention when he addressed Democratic nominee Joe Biden directly, “Mr. Vice President, look at me. I am black. We are not all the same, sir. I am not in chains. My mind is my own. And you can’t tell me how to vote because of the color of my skin.”
Amid the Republican National Convention, The Hill cited a new Hill-HarrisX poll to report that support among black voters for the president rose 9 points.
“Twenty-four percent of registered black voters in the Aug. 22-25 survey, which included the first two days of the convention, said they approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while 76 percent said they disapprove,” the website reported.
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