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Liberal filmmaker and documentarian Michael Moore is sounding the klaxon for Democrats that enthusiasm for President Donald Trump among his base of voters is running sky-high.
“Sorry to have to provide the reality check again, but when CNN polled registered voters in August in just the swing states, Biden and Trump were in a virtual tie. In Minnesota, it’s 47-47. In Michigan, where Biden had a big lead, Trump has closed the gap to 4 points,” Moore wrote in a Facebook post on Friday.
Throughout the spring and summer, national polling has put Democratic nominee Joe Biden ahead of the president, sometimes by double digits. But polling has been narrowing in recent weeks, especially in battleground states.
“Are you ready for a Trump victory? Are you mentally prepared to be outsmarted by Trump again? Do you find comfort in your certainty that there is no way Trump can win? Are you content with the trust you’ve placed in the DNC to pull this off?” Moore continued.
The director of “Roger and Me” and “Fahrenheit 9/11” lambasted Biden for his plans to visit swing states after the Labor Day holiday to include Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Arizona.
He noted that his home state of Michigan, which is certain to be hotly contested once again, was not on Biden’s list.
“Sound familiar?” Moore said in a not-so-subtle jab at 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, who ignored Michigan and other former “blue wall” states in the upper Midwest and “Rust Belt” that had traditionally swung to her party.
“I’m warning you almost 10 weeks in advance. The enthusiasm level for the 60 million in Trump’s base is OFF THE CHARTS! For Joe, not so much,” Moore continued in his post.
“Don’t leave it to the Democrats to get rid of Trump. YOU have to get rid of Trump. WE have to wake up every day for the next 67 days and make sure each of us are going to get a hundred people out to vote. ACT NOW!”
In an interview earlier this month on MSNBC, Moore expressed similar concerns about a lack of Democrat voter enthusiasm for Biden and his running mate, Sen. Kamala Harris of California.
“I worry because people do need to get excited,” he said, according to Fox News.
During his HBO program Friday evening, host Bill Maher voiced similar angst.
“I am feeling less confident about this — maybe it’s just their convention bump got to me, but I’m feeling less confident than I was a month ago,” he said. “I feel very nervous, the same way I did four years ago at this time.”
As to the perception that the Biden/Harris campaign is not exciting the Democratic Party’s base, post-convention polling found no ‘bump’ for the ticket.
“First, Biden does not appear to be getting much of a convention bounce. He’s at +8.8 in our national poll average (still quite good) but that’s only up from +8.4 before the conventions,” Five-Thirty-Eight’s lead pollster Nate Silver wrote on Twitter.
“Our model expected pretty small bounces this year, but still it sees this small a slight net negative for Biden, as it adjusts polls taken during what’s supposed to be Biden’s convention bounce slightly downward,” he added.
Our model expected pretty small bounces this year, but still it sees this small a slight net negative for Biden, as it adjusts polls taken during what's supposed to be Biden's convention bounce slightly downward.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 26, 2020
But in a Friday post, Silver seemed to acknowledge — then rationalize — the lack of enthusiasm for Biden/Harris.
“Seems to me that if Biden is at 51% in polls but his supporters aren’t super vocal and don’t have a ton of yard signs out there and stuff, then Biden voters could make a good claim to being the ‘silent majority,’” he wrote.
Seems to me that if Biden is at 51% in polls but his supporters aren't super vocal and don't have a ton of yard signs out there and stuff, then Biden voters could make a good claim to being the "silent majority".
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 28, 2020
Throughout the election cycle in 2016, after Trump and Clinton became their respective party nominees, the vast majority of polls consistently showed Clinton ahead, and in some cases by a lot, up to Election Day.
Moore, however, was not swayed by them: He predicted a Trump victory.
Last week during another interview on MSNBC, Moore expressed concern that Biden’s voters were not excited.
“Even your own poll today, the NBC poll, showed that [when] asked ‘Why are you voting for Joe Biden,’ 58 percent said because he’s not Trump. That’s the number one reason,” Moore told “The Beat” anchor Ari Melber. “So I look at that and I worry because people do need to get excited.”
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