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Good news for the reelection chances of President Donald Trump from CNN, of all places.
In a random telephone sample of about 1,000 registered voters conducted by CNN, presumptive Democrat presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead, or alleged lead, over Trump has narrowed substantially, with the momentum heading in Trump’s direction.
The CNN data found that just 50 percent of the respondents now favor Biden/Harris and 46 percent backed Trump/Pence. Biden was up by 14 points in a prior CNN poll.
In addition, in 15 battleground states that will likely hand the White House to either Trump or Biden, the two candidates are now essentially deadlocked, with Biden at 49 percent as compared to Trump with 48 percent.
With an acknowledged margin of error in the roughly 4-to-5 percent range, the CNN result could be an outlier as compared to a series of polls showing Biden winning, or in the alternative, Trump may have pulled ahead even by CNN’s standards.
The survey is particularly surprising in that it comes from CNN with its 24/7 anti-Trump vendetta. Moreover, the registered voter cohort is generally considered unreliable metric as opposed to voters who actually plan to cast a ballot, suggesting that the Trump surge could be even larger.
Plus, you have to wonder, especially in the cancel culture environment, whether Trump-leaning voters would reveal their true intentions to a stranger on the telephone.
Imagine working as hard as CNN, etc., have worked to manipulate public opinion — not just over the last four years, but the last few months — and having this be a result. https://t.co/WFb9I5Lrtb
— Mollie (@MZHemingway) August 17, 2020
Trump has implied that the silent majority, or maybe the not-so-silent majority, will carry him to victory in November. Although these are unprecedented times, historically it is very difficult to dislodge an incumbent, although George H.W. Bush figured out a way to lose to Bill Clinton.
According to the Real Clear Politics aggregate of seven national polls, Biden leads Trump by 7.5 percent. Apart from Rasmussen, however, most pollsters seem to be oversampling Democrats for reasons of their own, ideological, financial, or otherwise. Along these lines, they’ve been accused of gaslighting the American people as a way to depress GOP turnout.
Recall that virtually every polling organization and so-called political expert claimed that Hillary Clinton was a lock to win the presidency in 2016.
And as alluded to above, however, national data is essentially meaningless because the presidential vote is a state-by-state contest ultimately decided in the electoral college process.
It’s often said that the only poll that matters is the one taken on Election Day. With universal mail-in voting, and ballots showing up days later, that may no longer be true.
Unlike traditional Republicans, Trump appears to have gained ground among minority voters, which also could help carry him to victory. Trump was a Democrat and an independent before running for president on the GOP ticket in 2016.
Here is a sample of what some Twitter users are thinking about the CNN poll:
1/2 Not a Trump supporter. But I’m seeing so much disturbing behavior out of Pelosi and Kamala I am switching back to Trump as of today. More and more police departments are having budgets cut. Crime is up and crickets from the Left.
— Jeff somewhere in America (@UnalienableRgts) August 17, 2020
Did you believe these polls in 2016? pic.twitter.com/m9szzFMHrz
— Wilsonee 🇺🇸 (@wilsonee) August 17, 2020
I had seen that movie before… pic.twitter.com/qffsG9aNLf
— SandyL 🇺🇸 – Text TRUMP to 88022 (@saRRLob) August 17, 2020
As they were working on compiling the next week’s fake polls showing a huge bump for Biden/Harris due to convention speeches, they figured the best way to accomplish that a little bit credibly is to lower Biden’s fake lead at the start of the week. Transparently desperate!
— Bansi Sharma (@bansisharma) August 17, 2020
If a CNN National poll has Trump down 5, he’s winning folks
— Proud American🇺🇸 (@Trump2Usa) August 17, 2020
We can add 5 to 10 points to Trump in any poll
Trump always finishes well
He’s a gamer – Israel/UAE, Russia Hoax Indictments, Economic Recovery, Tough on China, Right on Trade
Justice Reform looks good on his resume too (vs Biden and Harris)
— Sofa King Happy NiceGuy (@MrNiceGuyHaHa) August 17, 2020
I don’t trust polls but this will make leftists angry so I like it.
— Levi .D 🇺🇸🇮🇱 (@TheReal_LeviD) August 17, 2020
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