Three new polls indicate that President Trump’s approval rating among black voters has quadrupled since 2016. Emerson and Rasmussen have Trump polling at 34%, while the Marist poll shows Trump enjoying a 33% approval among black voters.
This is significant because President Trump won the electoral college in a landslide in 2016 despite scoring just 8% approval from black voters. If Trump can get even half the figure among black voters that he’s getting now in these polls, he will easily win reelection in 2020.
New Polls: Black American support for Trump
- Rasmussen: 34.5%
- Emerson: 34%
- Marist: 33%
Republican strategist Deneen Borelli tweeted: “Rasmussen Poll tracking poll finds Donald Trump’s total black approval at 34%. Democrats’ worst nightmare. Boom.”
— Deneen Borelli (@deneenborelli) November 23, 2019
Here are the Emerson poll results, which are consistent with both the Rasmussen and Marist polls:
Emerson polled registered voters and they’re consistent pic.twitter.com/njCQ3Pv63z
— Roee (@TheSadioRole) November 23, 2019
While polls are not always accurate (think back to all the polls that breathlessly claimed that Hillary Clinton would crush Trump in a landslide), there are other indications that black voter support for President Trump is climbing.
As BizPac Review reported, unemployment in the United States is at a record low. Notably, black unemployment has tumbled to a record low under the Trump administration — fueled, in part, by plunging unemployment among black women.
Not surprisingly, Never-Trumpers like CNN talking head Ana Navarro disputed the latest polls indicating mushrooming black support for Trump.
In a racist tweet, Navarro chirped: “Zero chance this is accurate. Zero. The poll must have only been conducted in the homes of Ben Carson, Kanye, that sheriff guy with the hat and those two Cubic Zirconia & Polyester-Spandex ladies.”
However, Victor Davis Hanson — a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, a public-policy think tank — said the trend indicated by the polls is devastating for the Democrats.
“Even 20 percent African-American support for Trump would all but dismantle Democratic Party presidential hopes for 2020,” Hanson wrote at Real Clear Politics.
Hanson continued: “Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election with 88 percent of the black vote. That was about a six-point falloff from Barack Obama’s share of the black vote in 2012. Even a small drop in African-American turnout or anything less than the usual 85 percent to 90 percent supermajority for a Democratic presidential candidate on Election Day can prove fatal.”
3 election-prediction models project that Trump will coast to 2020 landslide.
The Moody’s Analytics prediction model has been accurate since 1980 — missing only once in its 40-year history. That was in 2016, when it wrongly predicted Hillary would win.https://t.co/Y82yPoAFrt
— Samantha Chang 🎄🥳 (@samantha_chang) December 25, 2019
Hanson pointed out that the Democratic Party’s alienation of white voters will ensure their defeat. Why? Because you can’t afford to ignore an entire group of voters.
“Republican presidential candidates now routinely win 55 percent to 60 percent of the so-called white vote, and about 70 percent of voters are white,” Hanson wrote. “That lopsided margin may widen further, given that progressive Democrats are not making any effort to recapture turned-off white working-class voters.”
(Source: “Ingraham Angle”)
Victor Davis Hanson remarked that President Trump is outworking the Democrats (as usual). And that will likely drive him home to victory in 2020.
“Trump is reaching out to the African-American community to a much greater degree than progressives are reaching out to the estranged white working class,” Hanson noted.
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