The field of Democrat 2020 hopefuls is destined to stay overcrowded thanks to a new Iowa poll that indicates South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg’s support is on the rise.
Likely Democrat caucus-goers in Iowa have boosted Buttigieg to the head of the pack, with 22 percent of respondents saying they’d vote for the mayor, according to a Monmouth University survey that sampled over 400 potential voters.
Following in the poll is Joe Biden at 19 percent, Elizabeth Warren at 18 percent and Bernie Sanders at 13 percent. The only bad news for Buttigieg is that his lead over Biden is within the poll’s margin of error.
Since Monmouth’s last survey was released in August, Buttigieg’s support has jumped 14 points, while Biden and Warren saw their support slip by seven and two points, respectively. Sanders has seen an increase of five percent. While other candidates mostly remain the same in the single digits, Kamala Harris has had a meteoric fall from grace. Her support in the poll has dropped by nine points since August.
“Buttigieg is emerging as a top pick for a wide variety of Iowa Democrats. While he has made nominally bigger gains among older caucus-goers, you really can’t pigeonhole his support to one particular group. He is doing well with voters regardless of education or ideology,” Patrick Murray, the director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said about the new results, according to Fox News.
Source: Fox News
The other looming factor that could alter support for the wide array of candidates still holding on for life in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination is the question of whether former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg will be joining the race. While he has made steps that indicate he will be running, nothing has been officially announced. Murray believes it may be too little, too late though for the New York billionaire.
“Reports suggest that Bloomberg will skip the February contests if he does get into the race. With dismal numbers like these, it’s easy to see why. But I really cannot imagine that Democrats in the Super Tuesday states would be significantly more receptive to him than Iowa voters,” he said.
Polls focusing on the more general election in 2020 have shown no Democrat candidate proving to be much of a challenge for Trump. With Democrats spelling out doomsday scenarios on a daily basis and trying to handhold citizens through an impeachment inquiry that makes zero sense, Trump should be looking at little to no support in polls, but he’s topped the top-polling Dems in general election polls. Even polls that over-sample Democrats don’t show that giant of a lead for people like Biden, should the former vice president even end up getting the nomination.
Polls aside — especially considering how Trump defied them with his 2016 victory — what’s really strange about this race among Democrats is how overcrowded it remains. There is still no clear frontrunner. Buttigieg is topping this poll, but he’s had a campaign that’s mostly struggled to get noticed so far.
Warren and Biden have polled well, but Biden remains a gaffe machine who doesn’t seem to know where he is half the time, and Warren continues to be plagued by accusations of lying about her past. Then folks like Kamala Harris have kept in the race for inexplicable reasons.
Whoever ends up getting the nomination, none of them have shown that they can fire up a massive crowd like the current president can.
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