While President Donald Trump’s impeachment by the Democrat-controlled House is 100 percent guaranteed, its long-term effects remain unknown.
But according to conservative commentator S.E. Cupp of CNN, “early warning signs” indicate that the long-term effects could be disastrous for Democrats.
“There are some early warning signs, some things we do know,” she said on Saturday. “Two Democrats voted against the formal impeachment rules this week. They are both from districts Trump won by double digits. Not a single House Republican voted for it.”
This means Trump is benefiting from GOP unity, or at least in the House. The Democrats meanwhile remain somewhat fractured, and this fracture may grow as the impeachment proceedings formally get under way next week.
Listen to her full analysis below:
“But what will Republican senators do?” Cupp continued, pivoting her attention to the GOP-led Senate. “Some are starting to shift off Trump’s talking point that there was no quid pro quo and are admitting, yes, there was a quid pro quo, but that it’s not illegal.”
The chances of the Senate also impeaching Trump and thus removing him from office remain so low as to almost be nonexistent. Even Sen. Mitt Romney may wind up voting against it, given as his favorability ratings have plummeted amid his pro-impeachment fervor.
“Now what about voters — remember them?” the CNN host continued.
“The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll shows 49 percent support impeachment and removal right now, and 47 percent are opposed. That’s a slim majority,” she said.
Meanwhile, Cupp noted, the poll shows that a slim majority of Independents — whose votes are critical for a 2020 victory — now oppose impeachment.
“And Independents are reversed actually — 47 percent support, 49 percent oppose. That should be troubling for Democrats,” she said. “Throw on top of all of that there’s potentially a government shutdown looming on the horizon, which could delay the impeachment process even further and that benefits Trump.”
Cupp isn’t the first commentator who’s broached the potential repercussions of impeachment, and she likely won’t be the last.
In a scathing op-ed published on Friday, a day after Democrats formalized their “unfair” impeachment rules, mostly liberal commentator Piers Morgan argued that though “Trump may look like he’s on the ropes,” in reality “he’s got US jobs flying, ISIS chiefs dying, and desperate Democrats launching an impeachment bid they can’t win.”
“I don’t think this impeachment has a cat in hell’s chance of being successful … And it’s hard not to escape the conclusion the Democrats are reluctantly proceeding with it because they think it’s their best, perhaps only, way to stop Trump winning again in 2020,” he wrote.
Mostly liberal commentator Tim Pool made the same observation last week: “Democrats cannot win on their merits alone, so they’re hoping to just smear the president,” he opined in his daily podcast last Thursday:
“But what the Democrats don’t seem to have realized, or have chosen to ignore in their self-righteous desperation to nail Trump for anything, is that a failed impeachment attempt will hugely help him get re-elected,” Morgan continued in his op-ed, echoing Cupp’s point to a T.
Why, though? Because the public remains so divided on impeachment, because the advantages of the Trump economy outweigh any potential advantages of impeaching the president and because it’s clear to even liberals like Morgan and Pool that the impeachment drive is nothing but a “political hit job” designed to boost Democrat turnout in 2020.
It doesn’t help that Democrats don’t have “the goods” on Trump, as left-wing “journalist” Tom Brokaw rightly noted during an appearance on MSNBC last week.
“The big difference [between Trump’s impeachment and that of former President Richard Nixon] is … they still don’t have what you would call the goods on this president in terms of breaking the law and being an impeachable target for them,” he said.
“They’re going to start the process,” he continued, referring to the Democrats’ then-upcoming impeachment rules vote, “but they don’t have the same kind of clarity that the people who were opposed to Richard Nixon had because it was so clear that these were criminal acts that he was involved in.”
Dovetailing back to Cupp, she’s not the only CNN personality who’s warned of the consequences of impeachment.
CNN political director David Chalian noted late last week that, while nationwide polls show Democrats benefiting from a slim majority impeachment-wise, state polls show something else.
“When you look across some of the critical battleground states, those numbers are reversed,” he said to network host Brooke Baldwin. “The majority do not want to impeach and remove Donald Trump from office.”
6. Interestingly, NATIONAL polls seem to show more support for impeachment than battleground STATE polls – beware of the bubble! https://t.co/hhrqUrKnHT
— Michael Smerconish (@smerconish) November 1, 2019
Battleground states do NOT want impeachment probe.
Democrats are in BIG trouble in 2020!
Better back walk this whole witch hunt and start working for the American people NOW!
— Dr Gina (@RealDrGina) November 1, 2019
.@RealDonaldTrump is winning the Impeachment battle – NYTimes poll shows battleground states OPPOSE impeachment https://t.co/XVdyD2ks64 #wiright #maga #WI4Trump pic.twitter.com/fyFsXt5YhB
— Matt Batzel (@MattBatzel) November 1, 2019
What folks often fail to realize when analyzing national polls is that America doesn’t have national elections — it has state elections via the Electoral College system.
And so long as this system remains in place — Democrats have pushed for eliminating it — the president may wind up benefiting greatly from the left’s impeachment rancor.
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