There’s nothing more entertaining that watching the elitist left-wing academics who smugly scoff at conservative Americans finally come to terms with the reality that Donald Trump won the election and is sitting in the White House–whether they like it or not.
BBC reached out to several polling firms and political science professors asking them for their thoughts on President Trump’s chances if the election were held today–one year after the biggest upset in modern American political history.
Surprisingly, the majority of the respondents say President Trump would likely win again.
While the opinion of “experts” who were absolutely certain of a Hillary Clinton win is of questionable value, it’s still interesting to get a look into the minds of liberal thought-leaders as they admit they were 100% wrong about everything during the last election.
Robert Cahaly of Atlanta-based polling firm the Trafalgar Group maintains “If it’s the same match-up, I don’t think there’s any question.”
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Cahaly insists that some of the President’s more controversial actions have helped rather than hurt him with his base. “Trump is still doing things that energize the people who brought him to the White House.”
He points to President Trump’s feud with the NFL. “The NFL thing. Anyone who thinks the NFL thing has hurt Trump among the people who won the swing states is completely crazy.”
Cahaly also dismisses the notion that the Russia collusion allegations would affect Trump in another match-up against Hillary Clinton, saying “There are strong Russian connections with Hillary now.”
“The idea there’s something fishy going on with Hillary, if nothing else, has counter-balanced any accusation against Trump,” the strategist asserts.
But Cahaly says things might go differently if Democrats were to choose another candidate: someone like former Vice President Joe Biden.
“My personal opinion has always been the Republican Party was very lucky Joe Biden wasn’t the nominee,” says Cahaly. “He appeals to the same demographic as Trump. It would have been a battle royal in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.”
Barbara Perry, director of presidential studies at the University of Virginia’s Miller Center, thinks agrees. “If tomorrow we put Donald Trump up against Joe Biden, I think Joe Biden would win,” she claims.
But Perry acknowledges the improbability of Biden’s candidacy–the Pennsylvania Democrat would be nearly 77 at the time of the 2020 election.
Biden, Gaga release a video on sexual assault …Nothing says ur against sexual assault than teaming up with a notorious GROPPER crazy uncle Joe.
Have THEY even seen the Uncle Joe videos from the Oval Office ?
Sad attempt by the Democrats to take the high ground… pic.twitter.com/gqFv3iFPaZ
— [email protected] ?? (@lanag2003) October 28, 2017
If it were Trump-Clinton Part 2, Perry believes we would see the same result. “His win (in 2016) was multi-causal, of course. But what ultimately put him over the top was the Hillary factor in those three states – Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.”
Stony Brook University political science professor Helmut Norpoth, who was one of the few in the liberal establishment to predict a Trump win, likewise boils it down to a matter of who Democrats choose to run.
“I think Democrats don’t realize what kind of a special candidate they had in Barack Obama,” he says. “They had Bill Clinton, they had Obama, but these guys don’t come around every year. I don’t know who, at this point, would have that kind of appeal.”
Norpoth dismisses the importance of President Trump’s low approval ratings. “If you look at his approval rating, it’s abysmal. It’s the worst any president has had [at this stage in his presidency]. It looks like a long shot – but it was a long shot for him to win in the first place.”
The only expert to say President Trump would lose if the race were held again was Allan Lichtman, who also accurately predicted the results of the election.
“There are probably enough negative keys to predict [Trump’s] defeat,” Lichtman holds. The American University Professor has even written a book predicting the President’s impeachment.
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While liberals would love for such crystal ball predictions to come true, they will likely amount to little more than wishful thinking.
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