Pollster Nate Silver unloads on ‘unbelievably lazy’ HuffPo critic – ‘f’king idiotic and irresponsible’

In 2012, pollster Nate Silver became a media darling when he correctly predicted the Presidential election winner in every single state. The following 2014 midterm elections, however, found the FiveThirtyEight owner on the wrong side of liberals when he correctly predicted that Republicans would retake the Senate.

And now, while Silver is still predicting a Hillary Clinton victory based on the numbers, the fact that he isn’t predicting as certain a Democratic triumph as others (by comparison, the New York Times cites his probability of winning at 14 percent) is landing him in hot water with the liberal media, particularly Ryan Grim, Washington bureau chief of the Huffington Post.

Here’s what Grim, whose publication gives Donald Trump a 2 percent chance of victory, had to say about the fact that Silver is now predicting a 35.2 percent chance of a Trump victory:

“By monkeying around with the numbers like this, Silver is making a mockery of the very forecasting industry that he popularized. I get why Silver wants to hedge. It’s not easy to sit here and tell you that Clinton has a 98 percent chance of winning. Everything inside us screams out that life is too full of uncertainty, that being so sure is just a fantasy. But that’s what the numbers say. What is the point of all the data entry, all the math, all the modeling, if when the moment of truth comes we throw our hands up and say, hey, anything can happen. If that’s how we feel, let’s scrap the entire political forecasting industry.

Silver’s guess that the race is up for grabs might be a completely reasonable assertion ― but it’s the stuff of punditry, not mathematical forecasting.”

Silver wasn’t about to take the criticism lying down, responding to Grim with several scathing tweets:

Grim responded:

To which Silver countered:

And finally, parting shots:

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Scott Morefield


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