Trump takes lead in battleground Florida as fresh poll shows national numbers narrowing

A new poll shows Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has a slight lead over his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the key state of Florida.

Trump leads with 43 percent over Clinton’s 41 percent, according to the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative survey released Wednesday. Another 8 percent of those surveyed favor Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, and 5 percent are undecided.

Trump has a sizable portion of the independent voters, leading with 47 percent to 26 percent. While he leads with males 46 percent to 36 percent, it is Clinton who has the edge among females with 45 percent to 41 percent. Trump carries the lead among white voters, 49 percent to 33 percent, but trails behind Clinton among black Americans with 20 percent to her 68 percent. Clinton also has a 10-point lead among Hispanics.

“The race between Clinton and Trump among Hispanics in Florida is closer than it is nationally,” Monica Escaleras, director of the FAU BEPI, said, according to the survey. “Some of that is probably the Cuban vote. Trump’s support among Latinos in Florida is helping him stay competitive.”

Favorability ratings for both candidates are negative in the Sunshine State. Trump earned a 41 percent favorable and 56 percent unfavorable rating, and Clinton similarly scored a 40 percent favorable and 58 percent unfavorable
rating.

“The fact that both Mr. Trump and Secretary Clinton are significantly upside down in their favorability ratings could make it difficult for either to move substantially ahead,” said Kevin Wagner, associate professor of political science at FAU. “Clinton likely got a boost from the fact that Floridians chose experience as the top quality they are looking for in their presidential candidate. But, Floridians also chose dissatisfaction with government as their top issue, which likely favors Mr. Trump.”

The poll was conducted Friday through Monday and surveyed 1,200 registered likely voters.

A new YouGov/Economist Poll also showed the lead in the presidential poll numbers may be narrowing. In its survey of 1,300 general population respondents questioned Friday through Monday, Clinton leads Trump by only 4 percentage points — with 42 percent to 38 percent.

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Frieda Powers

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