Finally some good news in latest poll concerning Hillary, but here’s how Trump wins in November

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Op-ed views and opinions expressed are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of BizPac Review. 

After a likely win in Indiana this week, Donald Trump will, for all intents and purposes, be the de facto Republican nominee. If any ounce of common sense prevails, most of the anti-Trump forces within the Republican party will hopefully choose to grit their teeth, make nice, and support the nominee instead of torpedoing the country with some ridiculous third-party candidacy.

But even if that happens we still have a problem – how to beat Clinton in November. It’s not all bad. After months of being trounced in head-to-head polling against the Democrats, yesterday’s new Rasmussen poll actually shows Trump with a 41 percent to 39 percent lead over Clinton, with Trump picking up more Democrats than Clinton did Republicans.

That’s some good news, but as we know national polls mean very little. It’s all about the electoral college, and therein lies the difficulties for not just Trump, but ANY Republican candidate.

Here’s the bottom line – If Hillary Clinton picks up every state the Democrats have won the past SIX election cycles, since 1992, plus Florida, she will win the Presidency. That means without Florida Trump can win Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada, and virtually three-fourths of the land mass of the United States and STILL lose the election.

That’s a narrow ledge to walk.

And to make matters worse the latest Florida poll, a state Republicans haven’t won since 2004, shows Hillary Clinton soundly beating Donald Trump by 13 percentage points, 49-36 percent.

So, can Trump still win in November, even without Florida? Absolutely he can, but here’s the key – Trump MUST change the electoral map.

For the first time since Nixon’s “Southern Strategy” produced a landslide in 1972, an entire bloc of states is ripe for the taking. It’s not that he wouldn’t appreciate or seek everyone’s support, but Trump’s appeal to disaffected white middle-class workers is palpable. He is the ONLY non-socialist candidate talking about real ways to bring American jobs back and restore our manufacturing base, and working-class whites are hearing it loud and clear.

Democrats brag about the demographic changes that could very well bring about a permanent Democratic majority in this country. And with thousands of Puerto Ricans with voting privileges flooding into Florida in the wake of their economic disaster (not likely to have learned their lesson), this certainly seems true in some places, particularly Florida. But minorities also have significant populations in solid red states like South Carolina. The key is for Northern rust-belt whites to begin voting as a bloc, like minorities do, and like whites do in the South. 

And Donald J. Trump is just the person to pick up those votes.

If the white working-class, along with enough minorities who are fed up with Democratic policies that have left them worse off than ever before, hear Trump’s message and follow through, the group that has brought him this far is the one that could very well push him over the top in places like Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Ohio. That’s 69 electoral votes, well enough to push him over the edge even if he loses states like Florida, Virginia, New Mexico, and Colorado.

And folks, that’s how Donald Trump could beat his Democratic opponent like no other candidate, including Ted Cruz, could ever hope to do.

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Scott Morefield

Scott Morefield

Scott Morefield is a news and opinion columnist for BizPac Review. In addition to his work on BPR, Scott's commentary can also be found on Townhall, TheBlaze, The Hill, WND, Breitbart, National Review, The Federalist, and many other sites, including A Morefield Life, where he and his wife, Kim, share their marriage and parenting journey.
Scott Morefield

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