College-age Americans and other young adults who’ve watched the economy flounder for the past five years have slightly less faith in President Obama than the same age group did in President Bush at a similar point his presidency, according to a Harvard study.
And that could mean big problems for the president’s party in November, when voters will decide who controls the House and Senate for the last two years of Obama’s term. Republicans already hold the House and are expected to continue to. The GOP needs to win six seats in the Senate to take control there.
The study by the Harvard Institute of Politics found 18-to-29-year-olds are cynical about every aspect of the federal government and only 32 percent said they trusted Obama to do the right thing most or all of the time, according to the poll. In the fall of 2006, just before his Republicans took “a thumpin'” in midterm elections, that number was 33 percent, with President Obama.
Midterm elections are historically tough on the party in the White House. If the president’s approval is low, so is his party’s.
Republicans say the cause of the president’s low standing among the young are obvious.
“Young people are sick and tired of their government working against them, not for them,” Republican National Committee spokesman Raffi Williams said, according to Red Alert Politics.
“Republicans have a pro-growth, pro-jobs agenda that would help young people, yet under the current administration, Millennials have seen their health care costs rise, their career opportunities diminish and their debts soar.”
And that dissatisfaction might mean a different kind of change is gonna come in November.
Thirty-two percent of “millennials” who identify themselves as conservatives said they planned to vote in the midterms compared to 22 percent of self-identified liberals. Forty-four percent of Mitt Romney voters in 2012 plan to vote this year, compared to 35 percent of Obama voters.
“This is a good sign for the Republican chances to pick up the Senate,” Harvard Institute of Politics Director Trey Grayson said.
It might be a good sign for the country.
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