The Buzz; Alan Grayson Seriously Endangered, Most Vulnerable

agEditor’s Note – What a difference one poorly thought out ad can make!  Not that Grayson can help himself from making these disastrous decisions, he’s simply ill-equipped for rational thought.

There’s still a lifetime between now and November 2nd, and with these Democrats, anything is possible, yet, it’s beginning to look like Grayson just may be in a position to pursue his dream job of anchoring on MSNBC.

This is no time for Central Florida conservatives to stop working, but this is very encouraging news!

 

The Buzz House Race Rankings: Nearing Election Day

The Buzz
St Pete Times

For the fourth time this election cycle -– and the first time since Sept. 7– the Buzz is ranking the six U.S. House seats in Florida that are most vulnerable to a party switch.

The difference between first place (the most vulnerable) and sixth (less vulnerable) has widened a bit since our last ranking, due to growing evidence that Democratic Reps. Suzanne Kosmas and Alan Grayson are seriously endangered. In fact, with this post, Grayson climbs from the third most vulnerable lawmaker to first.

The rankings involve a lot of guesswork, because –- unlike this year’s hot statewide races — these House contests have inspired few reliable, independent polls. The rankings are based on interviews with a range of political practitioners and independent observers. The Buzz considers the state’s other 19 House seats to be safe for the party in power.

View the list after the jump.

1. Rep. Alan Grayson, D-Orlando. Previous ranking: 3. For months, Grayson’s reelection prospects were protected by his fundraising prowess and uncertainty about how good a race the Republican nominee, former state House Speaker Dan Webster, would run. But Grayson’s outlook took a turn for the worse when he ran an ad labeling Webster “Taliban Dan.” The ad claimed, among other things, that Webster thinks that wives should submit to their husbands; PolitiFact Florida ruled that claim False, and the ad was widely criticized as an overreach. Perhaps most important for Webster, it prompted a flurry of donations and seemed to give his campaign the kick in the pants it needed. Grayson still has money to play with – he had enough to run a follow-up ad on similar issues that was more restrained and likely more effective – but the original ad brought into clear focus how Grayson’s outspoken rhetoric can be an albatross.

2. Rep. Suzanne Kosmas, D-New Smyrna Beach. Previous ranking: 1 (tie) Just because she’s no longer No. 1 on this list doesn’t mean Kosmas’ chances of winning reelection in this GOP-leaning have improved. A public survey by a GOP pollster in September had state Rep. Sandy Adams up by 10 points, but even if that’s overstated – an internal poll showed Kosmas up by two points — both Republican and Democratic strategists agree that she’s in serious peril. Kosmas began with a money edge over Adams, but that’s being diminished by aggressive spending by outside groups critical of Kosmas. Kosmas’ outlook wasn’t helped by a late decision by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to reduce their ad buy in the district.

Read More – http://blogs.tampabay.com/buzz/2010/10/the-buzz-house-race-rankings-nearing-election-day-.html

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Tom Tillison

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