Former aides, a dozen or so Republican sources and other high-level GOP operatives are saying that U.S. Rep. John Boehner, R-Ohio, will no longer serve as House speaker after the 2014 midterm elections.
Rumors swirled earlier in the summer that the speaker had enough and thought 2014 would be his last year in charge. But then in July, talk circulated that he was not leaving.
At a July dinner, Boehner told his inner circle that the rumors were purely speculation, prompting Politico to report that he would run to hold his post.
“These inside-the-Beltway parlor games take place every two years,” Boehner’s spokesman, Michael Steel, told the Huffington Post. “The speaker has made clear publicly he intends to remain in his position in the next Congress.”
But not everyone believes Boehner will survive another two years in this political climate.
“He has to say that,” one former GOP leadership aide who is part of Boehner’s circle told the Huffington Post. “He can’t not say that. The minute you say [you're leaving], you’re done. Everybody around him thinks this is his last term.”
Boehner’s term has been rocky at best.
“He barely won the last one, and that group of opposition has only grown,” one former leadership aide said. “The ones who were in on it and got cold feet basically gave him a reprieve. They won’t be willing to do that again.”
With three more tea party voting representatives, retaining his position of power could be blocked.
Boehner faces political challenges in the coming months, too, including a vote on military action in Syria, immigration reform, a possible government shutdown, the proposed defunding of Obamacare and a debt-ceiling standoff, according to the Huffington Post.